While I was plotting out Stalin's Hammer: Cairo, I spent a couple of days pondering the fate of Israel. Unfortunately a couple of days poorly spent because I was so tired and brain fucked from being in multiplie deadline hell dimensions while running kids to and from holiday sport (anywhere between 6-8 trips a day, usually of 30 mins minimum duration each on the worst days) that I actually confused my own trilogies. For a coupla days there I laboured under the misapprehension that things were going to be a lot more difficult this time around because of all those nukes Tel Aviv had tossed around up the timeline.
Bzzzt. Wrong end-of-the-world-as-we-know-it series.
At the end of WW 2.3 the Holocaust is still a thing, but the orgy of mass killing that preceded the end of the original war hadn't happened. And knowledge of the Holocaust had arrived, making it difficult to ignore and adding another push factor to Jewish inward migration to Palestine.
OTOH you have Arab and Palestinian foreknowledge of Israel, and British foreknowledge of its policy failures at the end of the war in the OTL. Plus a long and bloody future history of revolution and counter revolution in the ME.
I've made my choices now. But given its a long wet weekend, feel free to share yours. Not just about what becomes of Israel but what happens to all the mid eastern regimes post 1944.2